Delhi Exit Polls 2025: BJP Projected to Secure Majority, AAP Faces a Tough Challenge

KKN Gurugram Desk | The Delhi Assembly Election 2025 exit polls indicate a clear victory for the Bharatiya Janata Party (BJP), potentially marking an end to Aam Aadmi Party’s (AAP) rule in the national capital. Most pollsters have predicted a significant lead for the BJP, while AAP’s seat count is expected to decline sharply.

Key Takeaways from Delhi Exit Polls 2025

✔ BJP projected to win between 39-60 seats, depending on the poll agency.
✔ AAP’s seat tally could drop significantly, ranging between 10-37 seats.
✔ Congress continues its decline, with 0-3 seats predicted.

These numbers suggest that Delhi, which has been under AAP’s governance since 2015, could see a political shift with BJP regaining control after 27 years.

Exit Poll Predictions: What Different Surveys Say

Chanakya Strategies Exit Poll

BJP: 39-44 seats
AAP: 25-28 seats
Congress: 3 seats (highest among all exit polls)

People’s Pulse Exit Poll

BJP: 51-60 seats
AAP: 10-19 seats
Congress: 0 seats

This poll suggests a landslide victory for BJP, pushing AAP into single-digit territory.

Matrize Exit Poll (The Only Close Contest Prediction)

BJP: 35-40 seats
AAP: 32-37 seats
Congress: 0-1 seat

This is the only exit poll predicting a tight race between BJP and AAP, keeping the possibility of a hung assembly open.

JVC Exit Poll

BJP: 39-45 seats
AAP: 22-31 seats
Congress: 0-2 seats

P-Marq Exit Poll

BJP: 39-49 seats
AAP: 21-31 seats
Congress: 0-1 seat

People’s Insight Exit Poll

BJP: 40-44 seats
AAP: 25-29 seats
Congress: 0-1 seat

Poll Diary Exit Poll

BJP: 42-50 seats
AAP: 18-25 seats
Congress: 0-2 seats

What Led to AAP’s Decline?

1. Anti-Incumbency & Governance Issues

AAP has ruled Delhi for 10 years, but recent controversies and governance challenges have impacted its popularity.
Allegations of corruption, water crisis, and poor infrastructure may have turned voters away.

2. BJP’s Strong Campaign

Prime Minister Narendra Modi’s popularity remains strong in Delhi, influencing voter sentiment.
BJP aggressively campaigned on issues like pollution control, infrastructure, and law & order.

3. Congress’ Irrelevance in Delhi

Once a dominant force (1998-2013) under Sheila Dikshit, Congress has failed to revive itself.
2015 & 2020: Congress won 0 seats. In 2025, exit polls suggest a similar fate.

Throwback: AAP’s Performance in 2015 & 2020

Delhi Assembly Elections 2015

AAP’s historic win: 67 out of 70 seats
BJP: 3 seats
Congress: 0 seats

This was AAP’s biggest-ever victory, establishing Arvind Kejriwal as the dominant leader in Delhi politics.

Delhi Assembly Elections 2020

AAP: 62 seats
BJP: 8 seats
Congress: 0 seats

While BJP improved from 3 to 8 seats, AAP retained a strong majority.

However, 2025 exit polls suggest a massive shift, with BJP emerging as the frontrunner.

Will BJP Return to Power in Delhi?

If exit polls are accurate, BJP is set to form the next government in Delhi, ending AAP’s 10-year rule. However, the final results on February 8 will confirm whether these predictions hold true.

Possible Scenarios Based on Exit Polls:

BJP Majority (51+ seats) – A clear BJP government in Delhi after 27 years.
Hung Assembly (35-40 BJP seats, 32-37 AAP seats) – AAP and BJP may need alliances to form the government.
AAP’s Unexpected Comeback (unlikely as per polls) – If results defy exit polls, Kejriwal could retain power.

With BJP projected to gain significantly, all eyes are on the vote counting day, February 8, 2025.

The 2025 exit polls suggest a major shift in Delhi’s political landscape, with BJP poised to make a strong comeback and AAP facing a decline.

BJP’s projected victory (39-60 seats) could end AAP’s dominance.
AAP is predicted to lose significant ground, with only 10-37 seats expected.
Congress remains largely irrelevant, with 0-3 seats.

If these predictions materialize, Delhi will witness a political transformation, with BJP back in power after nearly three decades.