Bihar Rain Forecast Today: Drought Threat Looms Over 20 Districts

As the monsoon continues to elude large parts of Bihar, the state faces an emerging agricultural crisis with below-normal rainfall, scorching heatwave conditions, and a growing threat of drought in over 20 districts. While parts of Patna and neighboring regions witnessed light showers on Wednesday evening, experts warn that this respite is not enough to reverse the impact of an increasingly delayed monsoon.

Monsoon Deficit Alarming: Bihar Records 50% Less Rainfall Than Normal

Bihar, an agrarian state heavily dependent on monsoon rains for crop cultivation, is witnessing a significant rainfall deficit this year. According to the latest data from the India Meteorological Department (IMD), the state has received 50% less rainfall compared to seasonal norms. The rainfall deficiency has severely impacted agricultural activities, particularly paddy transplantation, which is already lagging far behind schedule.

Districts Most Affected by Rainfall Shortfall

At least 20 districts in Bihar are facing rainfall shortages ranging between 50% to over 90%, with Saharsa being the worst-hit, recording a deficit of over 90%. Other districts facing critical shortages include:

• Sitamarhi

• Muzaffarpur

• Madhubani

• East Champaran

• Samastipur

• Madhepura

These regions are staring at the possibility of drought-like conditions, severely affecting the kharif crop season.

Impact on Paddy Cultivation: Transplantation at Just 3% of Target

The situation is dire on the ground. Paddy, the primary kharif crop in Bihar, is water-intensive and heavily reliant on timely monsoon showers. The agriculture department had set a target of 37.45 lakh hectares for paddy cultivation this year. However, as of now, only 1.2 lakh hectares (around 3% of the target) has been transplanted. This sharp delay is expected to lead to a potential 15% drop in rice production, which could translate to a shortfall of over 12 lakh tonnes.

This shortfall doesn’t just affect food grain availability—it also impacts farmer incomes, food prices, and rural employment, putting a broader socio-economic strain on Bihar.

Heatwave Adds to Farmers’ Woes

As if the rainfall deficit weren’t enough, the ongoing humid heatwave is further compounding problems. Daytime temperatures in many parts of the state have soared to 34–35°C, while humidity levels have reached an oppressive 80–85% in the mornings and remain high throughout the day. Cities like Patna, Muzaffarpur, and Bhagalpur have reported suffocating heat and poor air quality, making daily life challenging for residents.

Weather Forecast: No Major Relief Expected Till July 14

According to the IMD’s latest bulletin, the monsoon is expected to remain weak between July 9 and July 14. Dry conditions are likely to persist across most parts of the state, with only isolated light rainfall in select areas.

Key weather parameters for the coming week:

• Maximum Temperature: 34–35°C

• Minimum Temperature: 26–28°C

• Humidity: 80–85% (morning), 45–55% (afternoon)

• Wind Speed: 4–8 km/h, predominantly easterly

While cloud build-up and occasional drizzles might provide temporary relief, meteorologists suggest that a full-fledged monsoon revival is still uncertain, especially in northern Bihar.

City-wise Weather Snapshot and AQI Levels

These figures highlight rising discomfort levels in urban centers, worsened by poor air quality, especially in the capital Patna.

Government Response and Preparedness Measures

As the situation unfolds, state government officials and the Bihar Agriculture Department are closely monitoring weather patterns. Contingency plans, including the possible declaration of drought in severely affected districts, are being reviewed.

The department may also roll out support packages, such as:

• Subsidized diesel for irrigation

• Crop insurance compensations

• Alternate crop advisories

• Supply of drought-resistant seeds

However, for these measures to be effective, timely intervention is crucial. Experts have urged the government to deploy resources proactively rather than wait for post-crisis relief.

Expert Opinions: Climate Uncertainty and Agricultural Risks

Climate scientists and agri-economists are increasingly warning about the growing unpredictability of monsoon patterns due to climate change. The situation in Bihar mirrors similar challenges being faced in parts of eastern Uttar Pradesh, Jharkhand, and Chhattisgarh.

Dr. Rajesh Kumar, a meteorologist based in Patna, states,

“Monsoon delays are becoming more frequent. The uneven distribution of rainfall—floods in one region and drought in another—is a new normal. We must prepare our agriculture system to adapt to this changing reality.”

With more than half the monsoon season already past, the coming fortnight is crucial for Bihar’s kharif crop survival. The absence of widespread rainfall has already jeopardized sowing schedules, and the heatwave is draining both people and the soil. While light showers bring momentary relief, what Bihar truly needs is a strong and sustained monsoon revival.