Bihar, known for its vibrant folk songs that echo the spirit of monsoon—like the famous line “Kajraari Kajraari Sawan Ki Ghata”—is facing an unusual weather pattern this Sawan (monsoon) season. Instead of dark, rain-laden clouds, the skies have remained mostly blue, scattered with white clouds offering false hope to a rain-thirsty land.

On Thursday, there were signs of cloud cover in parts of Bihar, sparking hope among farmers and residents that monsoon showers might finally arrive in full swing. However, the sunshine that dominated Friday dashed those hopes. Apart from Bhagalpur, no district in Bihar recorded rainfall on Friday. Unfortunately, today—Saturday—is expected to follow the same dry weather trend.

Bihar Facing Serious Rainfall Deficit in 2025

Although the monsoon officially arrived earlier than last year, the rainfall across Bihar has been alarmingly low so far. According to the data from the Indian Meteorological Department (IMD), Bihar has received 53% less rainfall than expected till now.

Gaya remains the only district where normal rainfall has been recorded. All other districts are witnessing a deficit, with 20 districts reporting a shortfall between 50% to 90%. This includes major regions of North Bihar, such as Patna, Arwal, Bhojpur, Begusarai, and Khagaria. The worst-affected district is Saharsa, where the rainfall deficiency is the highest.

This significant lack of rainfall in July 2025 is raising concerns about potential drought-like conditions, particularly in agricultural belts dependent on seasonal monsoons.

No Major Rainfall Expected Today (Saturday)

As per today’s weather forecast, Bihar is likely to experience dry conditions. The skies will see occasional movement of clouds, but no substantial rain is expected. Only a few districts might experience light drizzle, which will hardly provide any relief from the ongoing heatwave and humidity.

So far, no weather warnings have been issued for Saturday. However, people across Bihar, especially in urban areas like Patna and Muzaffarpur, are grappling with humid and uncomfortable weather.

Weather Forecast for Bihar (July 12 – July 16)

Between July 12 and 16, Bihar may witness light to moderate rain in several districts. However, heavy rainfall is unlikely during this period. According to forecasts:

• On July 15 and 16, there could be scattered rainfall in some parts of the state.

• Post July 16, the probability of rain will again decrease.

• Maximum temperatures are expected to hover between 34°C to 35°C, while minimum temperatures will likely remain between 26°C to 28°C.

• Humidity levels in the morning may touch 80% to 90%, reducing to 45% to 55% in the afternoon.

• Easterly winds at speeds of 12–20 km/h will continue to flow over the region.

While this offers a slight glimmer of hope, the overall rainfall outlook for July remains below normal, leaving many farmers worried about crop damage and water shortages.

Rainfall Alert for Select Districts

Though most of Bihar remains dry, Kaimur and Rohtas districts have been placed under a moderate rainfall alert. Local authorities have also warned about the risk of lightning strikes over the next two days. Residents in these regions are advised to stay indoors during thunderstorms and take necessary safety precautions.

Soaring Temperatures Worsen the Situation

The unrelenting heatwave is compounding the situation in Bihar. The first week of July has felt more like peak May, with many districts recording extreme heat and high humidity levels.

Here’s a snapshot of temperature and Air Quality Index (AQI) readings from key cities (as recorded on Friday):

The combination of high temperatures and poor air quality is impacting public health, especially among the elderly and those with respiratory issues.

20 Districts at Risk of Drought Conditions

As Bihar stares at a prolonged dry spell, concerns over a potential drought crisis are beginning to surface. The 20 districts with over 50% rainfall deficiency could soon face challenges in:

• Agricultural productivity, especially paddy cultivation

• Groundwater recharge

• Availability of drinking water

• Livelihood of farmers and rural communities

If the monsoon does not pick up by mid-July, the state government may need to initiate drought relief measures, including compensation for crop losses, groundwater management plans, and emergency irrigation strategies.

While short-term forecasts show light to moderate rainfall between July 12–16, the larger picture remains concerning. A consistent below-normal rainfall pattern can severely affect Bihar’s agricultural economy, which is already vulnerable due to climate variability.

Climate experts suggest that the changing monsoon patterns could be attributed to El Niño effects, global warming, and regional climatic shifts. These irregularities highlight the urgent need for climate-resilient farming practices, better water conservation, and disaster preparedness across the state.

The monsoon season, traditionally a time of joy and renewal in Bihar, has so far brought anxiety and uncertainty. With over half the state reeling under significant rainfall deficit, the situation demands close monitoring and proactive measures by both the government and local authorities.

Stay connected with KKNLive.com for daily updates on the Bihar weather forecast, monsoon developments, and expert analysis on how this weather anomaly might impact the state in the coming weeks.